Tropical Cyclone Outlook The Hurricane Network New York NY 800 PM EDT Sun May 15 2022 For the Northern Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure possibly could form by the end of the week in the southern Caribbean. Environmental conditions is expected to be marginal for tropical or subtropical cyclone formation later this week as the area of disturbed weather meanders between the Caribbean sea and Cayman Trench. * Chance of tropical development in 48 hours, low, 0 percent. * Chance of tropical development in 5 days, low, 20 percent. This Tropical Cyclone Outlook issuance marks the first issuance for the upcoming 2022 Nothern Atlantic hurricane season, which is set to begin on June 1, 2022. During the month of May, Tropical Cyclone Outlooks will be issued when there is a potential area of tropical cyclone formation and will follow the regular issuance schedule of 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT. In the event of major changes to our forecast, a Special Tropical Cyclone Outlook will be issued. Forecaster Latteri
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