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Hurricane IDALIA – Public Advisory 

IDALIA – Forecast Discussions

Latest Hourly Position/Intensity Updates on Idalia

Cyclone Advisories for HURRICANE IDALIA – Advisory 13 – 500 AM EDT

IDALIA NEARING THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA AS A CATEGORY FOURHURRICANE, CATASTROPHIC CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT SIXHOURS

CURRENT INFORMATION..AS OF 500 AM EDT

ABOUT 90 MI…145 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE AT 18 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…940 MB
BASIN…GULF OF MEXICO

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER:

A Hurricane Warning has been issued for the east coast of the
United States from Altamaha Sound Georgia to Edisto Beach South
Carolina.

A Storm Surge Warning has been issued from St. Catherine’s Sound to
South Santee River.

A Hurricane Watch has been issued from Edisto Beach South Carolina
to South Santee River South Carolina.

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from North of Surf City
North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginia border, and Pamlico
and Albemarle Sounds.

The Tropical Storm Warning for the west coast of Florida from
Bonita Beach southward is discontinued.

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Englewood northward to Indian Pass, including Tampa Bay
* St. Catherine’s Sound to South Santee River

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Middle of Longboat Key northward to Indian Pass, including Tampa
Bay

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Chokoloskee northward to the Middle of Longboat Key
* West of Indian Pass to Mexico Beach
* Sebastian Inlet Florida to Surf City North Carolina

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* Bonita Beach northward to Englewood, including Charlotte Harbour
* Mouth of the St. Mary’s River to St. Catherine’s Sound Georgia
* Beaufort Inlet to Drum Inlet North Carolina
* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers North Carolina

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Mouth of the St. Mary’s River to Altamaha Sound
* Edisto Beach to South Santee River

OUTLOOK

The center of Hurricane Idalia was located near 29.1 north and 84.1
west and is moving north-northeast around 18 mph. This general
motion is forecast to continue through this evening until a
northeast movement begins.

Aircraft data indicates the hurricane has sustained winds of 130
mph. Hurricane Idalia is a dangerous category four hurricane,
Additional intensification is likely before landfall. Some
fluctuations in strengthen is possible during Eyewall Replacement
Cycles, which usually occur with hurricanes of this strength.

The central pressure was estimated at 940 mb by aircraft.

Key messages and in-depth forecast discussion is available at:
http://thehurricanenet.com/al102023-d

LAND IMPACTS

STORM SURGE: Catastrophic and life-threatening storm surge is
expected along the Gulf coast of Florida beginning tonight into
Wednesday. Thereafter, life-threatening storm surge is expected
along the Southeastern United States. Water levels could reach the
following levels above normally dry grounds during high tide:

Wakulla/Jefferson County, FL to Yankeetown, FL…12-16 ft
Ochlockonee River, FL to Wakulla/Jefferson County, FL…8-12 ft
Yankeetown, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL…7-11 ft
Chassahowitzka, FL to Anclote River, FL…6-9 ft
Carrabelle, FL to Ochlockonee River, FL…5-8 ft
Anclote River, FL to Middle of Longboat Key, FL…4-6 ft
Tampa Bay…4-6 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Carrabelle, FL…3-5 ft
Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Englewood, FL…3-5 ft
Saint Catherines Sound, GA to South Santee River, SC…3-5 ft
Englewood, FL to Bonita Beach, FL…2-4 ft
Beaufort Inlet, NC to Ocracoke Inlet, NC…2-4 ft
Mouth of the St. Mary’s River to Saint Catherines Sound, GA…2-4 ft
Charlotte Harbor…2-4 ft
Neuse and Bay Rivers…2-4 ft
Pamlico and Pungo Rivers…2-4 ft
Flagler/Volusia County Line, FL to Mouth of the St. Mary’s
River…1-3 ft
Mexico Beach, FL to Indian Pass, FL…1-3 ft
Bonita Beach, FL to East Cape Sable, FL…1-3 ft
South Santee River, SC to Beaufort Inlet, NC…1-3 ft
Ocracoke Inlet, NC to Duck, NC…1-3 ft

For detailed information on storm surge including watches and
warnings, please consult official messages from the National
Hurricane Center on the Web at nhc.noaa.gov.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area
later this evening or early Wednesday morning.

Tropical storm conditions are underway within portions of the Dry
Tortugas and around the Lower Florida Keys.

Tropical storm conditions are expected along the Georgia and South
Carolina coast beginning late Wednesday evening.

RAINFALL: Idalia is forecast to produce 5-8 inches of rainfall along
the Florida Panhandle and Georgia coast with higher amounts over 10
inches possible.

TORNADOES: Tornadoes are possible today along the Gulf coast of
Florida and portion of the lower keys. The threat will shift
northward towards the Tampa Bay area and Big Bend this evening into
Wednesday.

NEXT ADVISORY

Hourly Tropical Cyclone Updates will continue through Idalia’s
landfall. This updates can be found on the Web at
https://thehurricanenet.com/al10tcu/

The next intermediate advisory will be at 800 AM EDT
The next complete advisory will be at 1100 AM EDT

Forecaster Ryan/Latteri

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