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Tropical Storm IAN – Public Advisory 

IAN – Forecast Discussions

Cyclone Advisories for TROPICAL STORM IAN – Advisory 6 – 1100 PM EDT

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND STORM SURGE WATCHES ISSUED FOR THELOWER FLORIDA PENINSULA

CURRENT INFORMATION..AS OF 1100 PM EDT

ABOUT 140 MI…225 KM S OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…989 MB
BASIN…CARRIBEAN SEA

WARNINGS AND WATCHES

ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the lower Florida Keys
from Seven Mile Bridge westward to Key West, including the Dry
Tortugas.

A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for the Florida Keys from the
Card Sound Bridge westward to Key west, including the Dry Tortugas,
and for the west coast of Florida from Englewood southward to the
Card Sound Bridge, including Florida Bay.

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the west coast of
Florida from Englewood southward to Chokoloskee.

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Grand Cayman
* Cuban provinces of Isla de Juventud, Pinar del Rio, and Artemisa

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Cuban provinces of La Habana, Mayabeque, and Matanzas
* Lower Florida Keys from Seven Mile Bridge westward to Key West
* Dry Tortugas

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* Florida Keys from the Card Sound Bridge westward to Key West
* Dry Tortugas
* West coast of Florida from Englewood southward to the Card Sound
Bridge
* Florida Bay

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Little Cayman and Cayman Brac
* Englewood southward to Chokoloskee

Interests across the entire western coast of Florida should monitor
the progress of Ian closely, hurricane and additional storm surge
watches could be issued early Monday.

OUTLOOK

The center of Tropical Storm Ian was located near 17.3 north and
81.4 west and moving northwest at around 13 mph. This motion will
continue overnight before turning nort-northwest Monday afternoon
and thereafter could begin moving northward late Tuesday. On this
track, Ian is expected to pass over western Cuba Monday evening into
Tuesday.

NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft data measured winds of near 65 mph.
Rapid intensification is expected to begin soon or has already
begun. Ian likely will become a hurricane overnight and become a
strong major hurricane later on Tuesday.

The central pressure was estimated at 989 mb.

For the full forecaster discussion go to
http://thehurricanenet.com/al092022-d

LAND IMPACTS

STORM SURGE: Life-threatening storm surge is expected along the
western Cuban coast Monday night. Water levels could rise near 14
feet above normal tide levels.

Elsewhere, dangerous and life-threatening storm surge will possibly
cause dry areas near the Florida Keys to be inundatedby water rise
within the Storm Sruge Watch area.

The waters could rise above normal tide levels:

* Englewood to Bonita Beach, FL… 4-7 ft
* Bonita Beach to East Cape Sable, FL… 3-5 ft
* East Cape Sable to Card Sound Bridge, FL including Florida Bay…
2-4 ft
* Florida Keys including the Dry Tortugas… 2-4 ft

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected on Grand Cayman Island early
Monday. Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the warning area
in Cuba by Tuesday morning.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area along the
Florida Keys on Tuesday and tropical storm conditions are possible
along the lower Florida pensinula on Tuesday evening.

NEXT ADVISORY

The next intermediate advisory will be at 200 AM EDT
The next complete advisory will be at 500 AM EDT

Forecaster Latteri

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