Graphical Outlook Key:X indicates the current position of the disturbance Yellow: 0-30 percent (Low) | Orange: 40 – 60 percent (Moderate) | Red: 70 – 100 percent (High)
Special Tropical Cyclone Outlook
Hurricane Network New York NY
835 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019
For the Northern Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. An area of low pressure is developing south of Bermuda associated
with a large area of thunderstorm activity and cloudiness.
Environmental conditions are expected to remain marginally favorable
for development and a subtropical or tropical depression could form
as early as Monday afternoon. A USAF Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this system on Monday, if necessary.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and tropical-storm-force
winds are possible along most of Bermuda on Tuesday The next Special
Tropical Cyclone Outlook will be issued by 2 AM EDT on Monday
morning. Additional information on this disturbance can be found on
the Disturbance Guidance Messages issued by The Hurricane Network.
* Chance of tropical development in 48 hours, moderate, 60 percent.
* Chance of tropical development in 5 days, high, 70 percent.
2. A vigorous area of disturbed weather has emerged off the coast of
Africa, east of the Cabo Verde Islands. Tropical cyclone formation
is no longer expected with this system due to increasing upper-level
winds. Regardless, heavy rainfall will likely cause flash flooding
and mudslides in the Cabo Verde Islands starting on Monday evening.
* Chance of tropical development in 48 hours, low, near 0 percent.
* Chance of tropical development in 5 days, low, near 0 percent.
Disturbance Guidance Messages issued by The Hurricane Network can be
found on the Web at http://thehurricanenet.com/disturbance-guidance-