13:54:07 UTC | 09:54:07 Eastern Time |Wednesday, May 22, 2019
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Atlantic Cyclone Outlook

Graphical Outlook Key:
X indicates the current position of the disturbance 
Yellow: 0-30  percent (Low) |  Orange: 40 – 60 percent (Moderate) | Red: 70 – 100 percent (High)

Special Tropical Cyclone Outlook
Hurricane Network New York NY 
835 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

For the Northern Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 

1. An area of low pressure is developing south of Bermuda associated 
with a large area of thunderstorm activity and cloudiness. 
Environmental conditions are expected to remain marginally favorable 
for development and a subtropical or tropical depression could form 
as early as Monday afternoon. A USAF Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 
scheduled to investigate this system on Monday, if necessary. 
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and tropical-storm-force 
winds are possible along most of Bermuda on Tuesday The next Special 
Tropical Cyclone Outlook will be issued by 2 AM EDT on Monday 
morning. Additional information on this disturbance can be found on 
the Disturbance Guidance Messages issued by The Hurricane Network.  

* Chance of tropical development in 48 hours, moderate, 60 percent.
* Chance of tropical development in 5 days, high, 70 percent.


2. A vigorous area of disturbed weather has emerged off the coast of 
Africa, east of the Cabo Verde Islands. Tropical cyclone formation 
is no longer expected with this system due to increasing upper-level 
winds. Regardless, heavy rainfall will likely cause flash flooding 
and mudslides in the Cabo Verde Islands starting on Monday evening. 

* Chance of tropical development in 48 hours, low, near 0 percent.
* Chance of tropical development in 5 days, low, near 0 percent.


&&

Disturbance Guidance Messages issued by The Hurricane Network can be
found on the Web at http://thehurricanenet.com/disturbance-guidance-
messages.

$$
Forecaster Ryan